PuckCast Edge
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Final · Wed, Oct 7, 10:00 PM ET
Lukas Dostal · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Anaheim Ducks 52.9% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 2.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project ANA for 94 points and EDM for 97.
The model leaned Anaheim Ducks at 52.9%.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.0% to 51.0%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Tristan Jarry (EDM) saved -23.1 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.882 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Anaheim Ducks over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 87 | 127 | |
| C | 37 | 58 | 95 | |
| D | 17 | 59 | 76 | |
| L | 21 | 16 | 36 |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | ANA @ EDM | EDM | ANA 2–4 EDM | Correct |
| 2026-02-25 | EDM @ ANA | EDM | EDM 5–6 ANA | Missed |
| 2026-01-26 | ANA @ EDM | EDM | ANA 4–7 EDM | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 25 | 34 | 60 |
| R | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| D | 10 | 36 | 46 |