PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Oct 13, 10:30 PM ET
Darcy Kuemper · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make Los Angeles Kings 50.2% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 0.2 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project LAK for 90 points and EDM for 97.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.7% to 51.0%); LAK's power play ran at 17.1% against a EDM kill at 75.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Darcy Kuemper (LAK) saved -22.9 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.891 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Los Angeles Kings over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.7% |
| 52.3% | Shot share | 50.5% |
| 3.4 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 2.9 |
| 30.5% | Power play | 17.1% |
| 75.9% | Penalty kill | 75.3% |
| 52.5% | Faceoffs | 49.8% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 87 | 127 | |
| C | 37 | 58 | 95 | |
| D | 17 | 59 | 76 | |
| C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 25 | 47 | 72 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | EDM @ LAK | EDM | EDM 0–1 LAK | Missed |
| 2026-02-26 | EDM @ LAK | EDM | EDM 8–1 LAK | Correct |
| 2026-01-10 | LAK @ EDM | EDM | LAK 4–3 EDM | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 27 | 31 | 58 |
| R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| L | 22 | 28 | 50 |