PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Model read · Thu, Oct 8
Golden Knights project at 66% as the home lean — a B-tier edge worth 16.2 pts over a coin flip.
The model picks Golden Knights at 66.2%, a 16.2-point edge over a coin flip. How this is calculated.
Golden Knights with a 16.2-point edge, backed by goalie out.
Multiple signals align in Golden Knights's favor. This is one of the cleaner setups on the slate.
| Book | TOR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Opening | +139 | -166 |
| BetRivers | +155 | -182 |
| Caesars | +142 | -169 |
| DraftKings | +142 | -169 |
| BetMGM | +140 | -169 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -169 |
| FanDuel | +136 | -164 |
Market: 6 books, best price at FanDuel, lines as of Oct 8, 3:21 PM ET
Moneyline prices only — not a comparison against PuckCast’s model. See PuckCast Edge for the model-vs-market read.
2.79
TOR xG
3.94
VGK xG
6.72
Expected total
The lean against each posted line is part of PuckCast Edge — see “Model vs. market” below.
Each team's own xGF% and CF% at 5v5 this season, shown side by side — not a prediction of how tonight's game itself will split. Raw and unadjusted: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
TOR top scorers
VGK top scorers
Six more reads on this game, past what’s free above: who’s out, how the starters are trending, the on-ice splits, the model’s read against the market, priced props and same-game combinations.
| Side | Grade | Market | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | B | |||
| VGK | B |
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