PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | TOR win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs Mammoth | 2 days | 41%Final pick |
| Nov 7 | vs Canadiens | 3 days | 48%Model read |
| Nov 8 | vs Devils | B2B | 42%Model read |
| Nov 10 | vs Avalanche | 1 day | 40%Forecast |
| Nov 12 | vs Wild | 1 day | 44%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
11-5the model’s record on Toronto Maple Leafs games.
Toronto Maple Leafs is #13 at 60 (up 37 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
68.8%
11 of 16 correct
Rank 8 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
90
Offense
45
Defense
62
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Toronto Maple Leafs profile as a middle-of-the-pack club still searching for a clear identity. A solid regulation win rate suggests they can close out games. Recent form is middling, treading water.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in offense, goal diff, blocks, all above the 65th percentile. Hits (26th) is the one clear weakness opponents can exploit.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.75 GPG
3.31 GA/G
+7
56.3%
7 RW in 16 GP
5-4-1
4-3-1
4-3-1
Upcoming
vs Mammoth
7:00 PM ET • Scotiabank Arena
9-6-0 (18 pts)
Win Prob
41%
Model Edge
-8.5
TOR Starter
UTA Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 46.8 | 48.6 | 47.3 | 30.1 | 33.5 | 36 | 39 | 99.7 |
| Power play | 90.8 | 93.1 | 94.4 | 11.5 | 0.7 | 15 | 1 | 108.8 |
| Penalty kill | 13.3 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 12.7 | 1 | 5 | 98.3 |
| All strengths | 46.5 | 48.6 | 48.7 | 48.8 | 51.4 | 61 | 54 | 101.9 |
16 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
Player Intelligence
League board →45
Overall Quality
80% Full Strength
-21 injury impact
84
Top Line
73
Top Pair
75
Starter
Standings