PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Thu, Oct 15, 7:00 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make New Jersey Devils 56.4% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 6.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NJD for 94 points and NYR for 91.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives New Jersey Devils a 56.4% chance to win on Thu, Oct 15. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 51.1%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Connor Hellebuyck's -22.8, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New Jersey Devils over New York Rangers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
| NYR | Metric | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 | |
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 | |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 | |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NJD 5, NYR 6
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | NJD @ NYR | NJD 1, NYR 4 | NYR hit |
| 2026-03-18 | NJD @ NYR | NJD 6, NYR 3 | NJD hit |
| 2026-03-07 | NYR @ NJD | NYR 3, NJD 6 | NJD hit |
| 2025-04-05 | NYR @ NJD | NYR 0, NJD 4 | NJD hit |
| 2025-01-09 | NJD @ NYR | NJD 2, NYR 3 | NJD missed |
| 2024-12-23 | NYR @ NJD | NYR 0, NJD 5 | NJD hit |
| 2024-12-02 | NJD @ NYR | NJD 5, NYR 1 | NJD hit |
| 2024-04-03 | NJD @ NYR | NJD 3, NYR 4 | NYR hit |
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |