PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Tue, Oct 20, 7:00 PM ET
Mackenzie Blackwood · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 54.4% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 4.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and NJD for 94.
The model leaned Colorado Avalanche at 54.4%.
PuckCast had Colorado Avalanche at 54.4% to win this game on Tue, Oct 20. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 53.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Connor Hellebuyck's -22.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
| COL | Metric | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
 Cale Makar | D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
 Martin Necas | C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
 Nazem Kadri | C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Hughes | C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NJD 2, COL 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | NJD @ COL | NJD 4, COL 8 | COL hit |
| 2025-10-26 | COL @ NJD | COL 3, NJD 4 | COL missed |
| 2025-02-26 | NJD @ COL | NJD 1, COL 5 | COL hit |
| 2024-12-08 | COL @ NJD | COL 4, NJD 0 | NJD missed |
| 2024-02-06 | COL @ NJD | COL 3, NJD 5 | COL missed |
| 2023-11-07 | NJD @ COL | NJD 3, COL 6 | COL hit |
 Jesper Bratt | L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
|---|
 Nico Hischier | C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
|---|
 Luke Hughes | D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
|---|
NJD@
DAL
