PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Tue, Oct 20, 9:00 PM ET
Filip Gustavsson · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 52.1% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 2.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and MIN for 101.
The model leaned Edmonton Oilers at 52.1%.
PuckCast had Edmonton Oilers at 52.1% to win this game on Tue, Oct 20. The matchup detail follows.
MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.4% of the expected goals to 48.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Filip Gustavsson (MIN) saved -9.1 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Minnesota Wild is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MIN
Filip Gustavsson
50 games, 2025-26
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
| MIN | Metric | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Boldy | L | 35 | 45 | 80 |
 Kirill Kaprizov | L | 38 | 41 | 79 |
 Quinn Hughes | D | 12 | 67 | 78 |
 Joel Eriksson Ek | C | 17 | 24 | 41 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 101 | 65.5% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: EDM 3, MIN 6
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | MIN @ EDM | MIN 7, EDM 3 | EDM missed |
| 2025-12-20 | EDM @ MIN | EDM 2, MIN 5 | MIN hit |
| 2025-12-02 | MIN @ EDM | MIN 1, EDM 0 | EDM missed |
| 2025-01-15 | EDM @ MIN | EDM 5, MIN 3 | EDM hit |
| 2024-12-12 | EDM @ MIN | EDM 7, MIN 1 | MIN missed |
| 2024-11-21 | MIN @ EDM | MIN 5, EDM 3 | EDM missed |
| 2024-02-23 | MIN @ EDM | MIN 4, EDM 2 | EDM missed |
| 2023-12-08 | MIN @ EDM | MIN 3, EDM 4 | EDM hit |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
|---|
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
|---|
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
|---|
DET@
EDM
