PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 22, 9:00 PM ET
Filip Gustavsson · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Minnesota Wild 53.6% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 3.6 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project MIN for 101 points and CGY for 89.
The model leaned Minnesota Wild at 53.6%.
PuckCast had Minnesota Wild at 53.6% to win this game on Thu, Oct 22. The matchup detail follows.
MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.4% of the expected goals to 47.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Filip Gustavsson (MIN) saved -9.1 goals above expected to Dustin Wolf's -17.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.899.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Minnesota Wild over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MIN
Filip Gustavsson
50 games, 2025-26
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
| MIN | Metric | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Boldy | L | 35 | 45 | 80 |
 Kirill Kaprizov | L | 38 | 41 | 79 |
 Quinn Hughes | D | 12 | 67 | 78 |
 Joel Eriksson Ek | C | 17 | 24 | 41 |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 101 | 65.5% |
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CGY 5, MIN 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | CGY @ MIN | CGY 1, MIN 4 | MIN hit |
| 2025-12-04 | MIN @ CGY | MIN 1, CGY 4 | CGY hit |
| 2025-11-09 | CGY @ MIN | CGY 0, MIN 2 | MIN hit |
| 2025-04-11 | MIN @ CGY | MIN 2, CGY 4 | CGY hit |
| 2025-01-25 | CGY @ MIN | CGY 5, MIN 4 | MIN missed |
| 2024-11-23 | MIN @ CGY | MIN 4, CGY 5 | CGY hit |
| 2024-01-02 | CGY @ MIN | CGY 3, MIN 1 | MIN missed |
| 2023-12-14 | CGY @ MIN | CGY 3, MIN 4 | MIN hit |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
|---|
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
|---|
CGY@
EDM
