PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Mon, Oct 26, 7:00 PM ET
Darcy Kuemper · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Rangers 56.6% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 6.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYR for 91 points and LAK for 90.
The model leaned New York Rangers at 56.6%.
PuckCast had New York Rangers at 56.6% to win this game on Mon, Oct 26. The matchup detail follows.
NYR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.1% of the expected goals to 48.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Darcy Kuemper's -22.9, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Rangers over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| LAK | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.1% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 25 | 47 | 72 | |
| R | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| R | 22 | 31 | 52 | |
| L | 22 | 28 | 50 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYR 1, LAK 5
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | LAK @ NYR | LAK 4, NYR 1 | LAK hit |
| 2026-01-20 | NYR @ LAK | NYR 3, LAK 4 | LAK hit |
| 2025-03-25 | NYR @ LAK | NYR 1, LAK 3 | LAK hit |
| 2024-12-14 | LAK @ NYR | LAK 5, NYR 1 | LAK hit |
| 2024-01-20 | NYR @ LAK | NYR 1, LAK 2 | LAK hit |
| 2023-12-10 | LAK @ NYR | LAK 1, NYR 4 | LAK missed |
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |