PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Mon, Oct 26, 7:00 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Rangers 56.6% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 6.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYR for 91 points and LAK for 90.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
LAK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.7% of the expected goals to 48.0%; NYR's power play ran at 24.6% against a LAK kill at 75.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Darcy Kuemper's -22.9, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Rangers over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| LAK | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 51.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.0% |
| 50.5% | Shot share | 46.6% |
| 2.6 | Goals for / game | 2.9 |
| 2.9 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 17.1% | Power play | 24.6% |
| 75.3% | Penalty kill | 79.9% |
| 49.8% | Faceoffs | 54.5% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 25 | 47 | 72 | |
| R | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| R | 22 | 31 | 52 | |
| L | 22 | 28 | 50 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | LAK @ NYR | LAK | LAK 4–1 NYR | Correct |
| 2026-01-20 | NYR @ LAK | LAK | NYR 3–4 LAK | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |