PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET
Samuel Montembeault · 0.872 SV%
The preseason ratings make Montréal Canadiens 54.5% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 4.5 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project MTL for 102 points and WPG for 89.
The model leaned Montréal Canadiens at 54.5%.
PuckCast had Montréal Canadiens at 54.5% to win this game on Sun, Oct 25. The matchup detail follows.
MTL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 53.2% of the expected goals to 44.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Samuel Montembeault (MTL) saved -23.9 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.872 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Montréal Canadiens over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MTL
Samuel Montembeault
25 games, 2025-26
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
| MTL | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 44.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Montréal Canadiens
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lane Hutson | D | 11 | 67 | 77 |
 Cole Caufield | R | 41 | 35 | 76 |
 Juraj Slafkovský | L | 24 | 38 | 62 |
 Noah Dobson | D | 12 | 37 | 48 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Connor | L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 102 | 61.2% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: WPG 2, MTL 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | MTL @ WPG | MTL 5, WPG 1 | MTL hit |
| 2025-12-03 | WPG @ MTL | WPG 2, MTL 3 | WPG missed |
| 2025-01-28 | WPG @ MTL | WPG 4, MTL 1 | WPG hit |
| 2024-12-14 | MTL @ WPG | MTL 2, WPG 4 | WPG hit |
| 2023-12-18 | MTL @ WPG | MTL 3, WPG 2 | WPG missed |
| 2023-10-28 | WPG @ MTL | WPG 3, MTL 4 | WPG missed |
 Mark Scheifele | C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
|---|
 Gabriel Vilardi | C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
|---|
 Dawson Mercer | C | 21 | 22 | 43 |
|---|
WPG@
FLA
