PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Stuart Skinner · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Dallas Stars 64.7% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 14.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DAL for 103 points and WPG for 89.
The model leaned Dallas Stars at 64.7%.
PuckCast had Dallas Stars at 64.7% to win this game on Thu, Oct 22. The matchup detail follows.
DAL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.0% of the expected goals to 44.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Oettinger (DAL) saved -14.5 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Dallas Stars over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
DAL
Jake Oettinger
54 games, 2025-26
| WPG | Metric | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 44.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 52.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Connor | L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
 Mark Scheifele | C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
 Gabriel Vilardi | C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
 Dawson Mercer | C | 21 | 22 | 43 |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Robertson | L | 37 | 49 | 86 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
| Dallas Stars | 103 | 70.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: DAL 8, WPG 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 0, DAL 3 | DAL hit |
| 2026-02-02 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 3, DAL 4 | DAL hit |
| 2025-12-09 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 4, WPG 3 | DAL hit |
| 2025-10-09 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 5, WPG 4 | WPG missed |
| 2025-04-10 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 4, DAL 0 | WPG hit |
| 2025-03-14 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 1, WPG 4 | WPG hit |
| 2024-12-01 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 1, DAL 3 | DAL hit |
| 2024-11-09 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 1, WPG 4 | WPG hit |
 Mikko Rantanen | R | 30 | 55 | 85 |
|---|
 Wyatt Johnston | C | 42 | 42 | 84 |
|---|
 Roope Hintz | C | 22 | 32 | 54 |
|---|
MTL@
DAL
