PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET
Linus Ullmark · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make Ottawa Senators 53.1% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 3.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project OTT for 100 points and LAK for 90.
The model leaned Ottawa Senators at 53.1%.
PuckCast had Ottawa Senators at 53.1% to win this game on Thu, Oct 29. The matchup detail follows.
OTT controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.3% of the expected goals to 48.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Darcy Kuemper (LAK) saved -22.9 goals above expected to Linus Ullmark's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.891 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Ottawa Senators over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
OTT
Linus Ullmark
49 games, 2025-26
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
| OTT | Metric | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| 51.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Stützle | C | 32 | 57 | 90 |
 Drake Batherson | R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
 Jake Sanderson | D | 12 | 42 | 54 |
 Claude Giroux | R | 16 | 37 | 53 |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Artemi Panarin | L | 25 | 47 | 72 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators | 100 | 58.0% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: LAK 5, OTT 1
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | OTT @ LAK | OTT 1, LAK 2 | LAK hit |
| 2025-11-15 | LAK @ OTT | LAK 1, OTT 0 | LAK hit |
| 2024-11-30 | OTT @ LAK | OTT 2, LAK 5 | LAK hit |
| 2024-10-14 | LAK @ OTT | LAK 7, OTT 8 | LAK missed |
| 2024-03-07 | OTT @ LAK | OTT 3, LAK 4 | LAK hit |
| 2023-11-02 | LAK @ OTT | LAK 3, OTT 2 | LAK hit |
 Adrian Kempe | R | 27 | 31 | 58 |
|---|
 Quinton Byfield | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
|---|
 Kevin Fiala | L | 22 | 28 | 50 |
|---|
PIT@
LAK
