PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Mon, Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET
Adin Hill · 0.871 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 57.7% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 7.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and VGK for 96.
The model leaned Boston Bruins at 57.7%.
PuckCast had Boston Bruins at 57.7% to win this game on Mon, Nov 2. The matchup detail follows.
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 55.3% of the expected goals to 51.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Adin Hill's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.871.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Vegas Golden Knights is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| VGK | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch Marner | R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
 Jack Eichel | C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
 Mark Stone | R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
 Shea Theodore | D | 8 | 34 | 42 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Pastrnak | R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: BOS 2, VGK 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | VGK @ BOS | VGK 3, BOS 4 | VGK missed |
| 2025-10-16 | BOS @ VGK | BOS 5, VGK 6 | VGK hit |
| 2025-03-20 | BOS @ VGK | BOS 1, VGK 5 | VGK hit |
| 2025-02-08 | VGK @ BOS | VGK 4, BOS 3 | VGK hit |
| 2024-02-29 | VGK @ BOS | VGK 4, BOS 5 | BOS hit |
| 2024-01-11 | BOS @ VGK | BOS 1, VGK 2 | BOS missed |
 John-Jason Peterka | R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
|---|
 Morgan Geekie | C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
|---|
 Charlie McAvoy | D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
|---|
MTL@
BOS
