PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Fri, Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET
Connor Hellebuyck · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vegas Golden Knights 56.0% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 6.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project VGK for 96 points and NJD for 94.
The model leaned Vegas Golden Knights at 56.0%.
PuckCast had Vegas Golden Knights at 56.0% to win this game on Fri, Oct 30. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 55.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Connor Hellebuyck (NJD) saved -22.8 goals above expected to Adin Hill's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.871.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vegas Golden Knights over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 55.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 | |
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 | |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 | |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: VGK 4, NJD 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | NJD @ VGK | NJD 2, VGK 1 | VGK missed |
| 2025-12-05 | VGK @ NJD | VGK 3, NJD 0 | VGK hit |
| 2025-03-02 | NJD @ VGK | NJD 0, VGK 2 | VGK hit |
| 2025-02-06 | VGK @ NJD | VGK 3, NJD 1 | NJD missed |
| 2024-03-17 | NJD @ VGK | NJD 1, VGK 3 | VGK hit |
| 2024-01-22 | VGK @ NJD | VGK 5, NJD 6 | VGK missed |
| C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
| R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
| D | 8 | 34 | 42 |