PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make New Jersey Devils 51.2% to win on the road — barely a lean at all, worth 1.2 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project NJD for 94 points and TOR for 85.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.0% of the expected goals to 45.9%; NJD's power play ran at 21.9% against a TOR kill at 81.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Allen (NJD) saved -7.2 goals above expected to Sergei Bobrovsky's -41.5, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.877.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New Jersey Devils over Toronto Maple Leafs is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Jake Allen
37 games, 2025-26
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.9% |
| 51.9% | Shot share | 44.8% |
| 2.8 | Goals for / game | 3.1 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.6 |
| 21.9% | Power play | 21.3% |
| 79.3% | Penalty kill | 81.2% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 54.2% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 | |
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 | |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 | |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 39 | 79 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | TOR @ NJD | TOR | TOR 3–5 NJD | Missed |
| 2025-12-30 | NJD @ TOR | TOR | NJD 0–4 TOR | Correct |
| 2025-10-21 | NJD @ TOR | TOR | NJD 5–2 TOR | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 31 | 43 | 74 |
| L | 24 | 37 | 61 |
| C | 25 | 33 | 58 |