PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET
Jordan Binnington · 0.873 SV%
The preseason ratings make St. Louis Blues 55.8% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 5.8 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project STL for 94 points and DET for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
STL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.3% of the expected goals to 48.4%; STL's power play ran at 17.6% against a DET kill at 77.1%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season John Gibson (DET) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Jordan Binnington's -37.1, on save percentages of 0.901 and 0.873.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. St. Louis Blues over Detroit Red Wings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
STL
Jordan Binnington
41 games, 2025-26
| DET | Metric | STL |
|---|---|---|
| 48.4% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.3% |
| 50.4% | Shot share | 47.8% |
| 2.9 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 22.6% | Power play | 17.6% |
| 77.1% | Penalty kill | 76.7% |
| 51.0% | Faceoffs | 49.4% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 29 | 52 | 81 | |
| R | 35 | 39 | 74 | |
| C | 28 | 35 | 63 | |
| D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 22 | 50 | 72 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | DET @ STL | DET | DET 5–2 STL | Correct |
| 2025-10-25 | STL @ DET | DET | STL 4–6 DET | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
| St. Louis Blues | 94 | 50.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| L | 19 | 30 | 49 |
| C | 20 | 29 | 49 |