PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | DET win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | at Lightning | B2B | 34%Final pick |
| Nov 5 | vs Golden Knights | 1 day | 53%Model read |
| Nov 7 | at Avalanche | 1 day | 39%Model read |
| Nov 10 | at Blues | 2 days | 44%Forecast |
| Nov 12 | at Panthers | 1 day | 45%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
7-8the model’s record on Detroit Red Wings games.
Detroit Red Wings is #20 at 46 (up 1 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
46.7%
7 of 15 correct
Bottom 4 of 32: the model has struggled to read this team. Take the picks here with extra caution. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.1
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.7%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
-0.59
Luck score (PDO 98.0)
Underwater, bounce-back candidate
39.7
Hits + blocks / game
24.4 hits · 15.3 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
42
Offense
61
Defense
51
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Detroit Red Wings profile as a middle-of-the-pack club still searching for a clear identity. Heavy OT dependency. The standings may be flattering them. Trending in the right direction with solid recent form.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in blocks, road, form (l10), all above the 65th percentile. Exposed in reg wins (29th) and home (26th). Opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.07 GPG
3.07 GA/G
+0
56.7%
5 RW in 15 GP
6-2-2
4-4-1
3-1-2
Upcoming
@ Lightning
7:00 PM ET • Benchmark International Arena
8-3-2 (18 pts)
Win Prob
34%
Model Edge
-15.6
DET Starter
TBL Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 52.9 | 54.2 | 56.2 | 34.3 | 26.7 | 28 | 26 | 98.9 |
| Power play | 87.0 | 85.9 | 90.6 | 13.0 | 1.4 | 10 | 1 | 103.4 |
| Penalty kill | 7.7 | 9.3 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 10.4 | 0 | 13 | 76.8 |
| All strengths | 52.2 | 53.0 | 54.4 | 50.5 | 42.4 | 47 | 47 | 98.0 |
15 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
Player Intelligence
League board →53
Overall Quality
82% Full Strength
-14 injury impact
89
Top Line
79
Top Pair
72
Starter
Standings