PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PM ET
Darcy Kuemper · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make Los Angeles Kings 55.8% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 5.8 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project LAK for 90 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
LAK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.7% of the expected goals to 46.1%; LAK's power play ran at 17.1% against a CGY kill at 80.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Darcy Kuemper's -22.9, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Los Angeles Kings over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.7% |
| 48.4% | Shot share | 50.5% |
| 2.5 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 2.9 |
| 16.2% | Power play | 17.1% |
| 80.4% | Penalty kill | 75.3% |
| 49.3% | Faceoffs | 49.8% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 15 | 29 | 45 | |
| R | 18 | 24 | 43 | |
| C | 16 | 22 | 38 | |
| L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 25 | 47 | 72 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | LAK @ CGY | CGY | LAK 1–3 CGY | Correct |
| 2026-03-24 | LAK @ CGY | CGY | LAK 3–4 CGY | Correct |
| 2026-02-28 | CGY @ LAK | LAK | CGY 0–2 LAK | Correct |
| 2025-12-13 | CGY @ LAK | LAK | CGY 2–1 LAK | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 27 | 31 | 58 |
| R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| L | 22 | 28 | 50 |