PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make Toronto Maple Leafs 51.9% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 1.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project TOR for 85 points and LAK for 90.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
LAK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.7% of the expected goals to 45.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Darcy Kuemper (LAK) saved -22.9 goals above expected to Sergei Bobrovsky's -41.5, on save percentages of 0.891 and 0.877.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Toronto Maple Leafs over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
| LAK | Metric | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 51.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Artemi Panarin | L | 25 | 47 | 72 |
 Adrian Kempe | R | 27 | 31 | 58 |
 Quinton Byfield | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
 Kevin Fiala | L | 22 | 28 | 50 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auston Matthews | C | 40 | 39 | 79 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | TOR @ LAK | LAK | TOR 6–7 LAK | Correct |
| 2025-11-13 | LAK @ TOR | TOR | LAK 4–3 TOR | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 William Nylander | R | 31 | 43 | 74 |
|---|
 Kirill Marchenko | R | 25 | 33 | 58 |
|---|
 John Tavares | C | 25 | 33 | 58 |
|---|
TOR@
BOS
