PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET
Jake Oettinger · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Dallas Stars 62.1% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 12.1 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DAL for 103 points and FLA for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Dallas Stars a 62.1% chance to win on Sun, Nov 15. The matchup detail follows.
DAL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.2% of the expected goals to 49.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Oettinger (DAL) saved -14.5 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Dallas Stars over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
DAL
Jake Oettinger
54 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brady Tkachuk | L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
 Sam Reinhart | C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
 Matthew Tkachuk | L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
 Carter Verhaeghe | C | 23 | 29 | 52 |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Robertson | L | 37 | 49 | 86 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | FLA @ DAL | DAL | FLA 4–0 DAL | Missed |
| 2025-11-01 | DAL @ FLA | FLA | DAL 3–4 FLA | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| Dallas Stars | 103 | 70.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Mikko Rantanen | R | 30 | 55 | 85 |
|---|
 Wyatt Johnston | C | 42 | 42 | 84 |
|---|
 Roope Hintz | C | 22 | 32 | 54 |
|---|
PIT@
DAL
