PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Mon, Nov 16, 9:30 PM ET
Karel Vejmelka · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Utah Mammoth 68.2% to win at home — a clear lean, worth 18.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project UTA for 99 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.6% of the expected goals to 43.2%; UTA's power play ran at 19.1% against a VAN kill at 71.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Karel Vejmelka (UTA) saved -22.7 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Utah Mammoth over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
| VAN | Metric | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 52.6% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 51.2% |
| 2.6 | Goals for / game | 3.3 |
| 3.8 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 21.8% | Power play | 19.1% |
| 71.5% | Penalty kill | 78.3% |
| 49.3% | Faceoffs | 49.1% |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 | |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 | |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 27 | 53 | 80 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | UTA @ VAN | UTA | UTA 7–4 VAN | Correct |
| 2026-02-02 | VAN @ UTA | UTA | VAN 2–6 UTA | Correct |
| 2025-12-05 | UTA @ VAN | UTA | UTA 4–1 VAN | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 33 | 33 | 66 |
| C | 29 | 33 | 61 |
| C | 22 | 37 | 59 |