PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Dec 5, 7:00 PM ET
Stuart Skinner · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vegas Golden Knights 59.6% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 9.6 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project VGK for 96 points and WPG for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Vegas Golden Knights a 59.6% chance to win on Sat, Dec 5. The matchup detail follows.
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 55.3% of the expected goals to 44.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Adin Hill (VGK) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.871 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vegas Golden Knights over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
| WPG | Metric | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| 44.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 55.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Connor | L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
 Mark Scheifele | C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
 Gabriel Vilardi | C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
 Josh Morrissey | D | 11 | 37 | 48 |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch Marner | R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: VGK 7, WPG 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | WPG @ VGK | WPG 2, VGK 6 | VGK hit |
| 2026-03-24 | VGK @ WPG | VGK 1, WPG 4 | VGK missed |
| 2026-01-06 | VGK @ WPG | VGK 4, WPG 3 | WPG missed |
| 2025-04-03 | WPG @ VGK | WPG 4, VGK 0 | WPG hit |
| 2024-12-12 | VGK @ WPG | VGK 3, WPG 2 | WPG missed |
| 2024-11-29 | WPG @ VGK | WPG 3, VGK 4 | WPG missed |
| 2024-03-28 | VGK @ WPG | VGK 4, WPG 1 | WPG missed |
| 2023-11-02 | WPG @ VGK | WPG 2, VGK 5 | VGK hit |
 Jack Eichel | C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
|---|
 Mark Stone | R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
|---|
 Shea Theodore | D | 8 | 34 | 42 |
|---|
VGK@
TOR
