PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Dec 6, 8:00 PM ET
Lukas Dostal · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Anaheim Ducks 58.2% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 8.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project ANA for 94 points and WPG for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
ANA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 47.7%; ANA's power play ran at 20.2% against a WPG kill at 77.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) saved -22.8 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Anaheim Ducks over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
| WPG | Metric | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.0% |
| 48.7% | Shot share | 52.4% |
| 2.8 | Goals for / game | 3.2 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.5 |
| 18.5% | Power play | 20.2% |
| 77.6% | Penalty kill | 75.6% |
| 51.1% | Faceoffs | 47.8% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 | |
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 | |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 | |
| D | 11 | 37 | 48 |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | ANA @ WPG | WPG | ANA 4–1 WPG | Missed |
| 2026-02-27 | WPG @ ANA | ANA | WPG 4–5 ANA | Correct |
| 2025-11-09 | WPG @ ANA | WPG | WPG 1–4 ANA | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 25 | 34 | 60 |
| R | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| R | 19 | 33 | 51 |