PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Dec 12, 1:00 PM ET
Jeremy Swayman · 0.908 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 58.7% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 8.6 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and NJD for 94.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.0% of the expected goals to 47.6%; BOS's power play ran at 22.7% against a NJD kill at 79.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Jake Allen's -7.2, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.904.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Jake Allen
37 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.6% |
| 51.9% | Shot share | 47.4% |
| 2.8 | Goals for / game | 3.2 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 21.9% | Power play | 22.7% |
| 79.3% | Penalty kill | 78.5% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 53.3% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 | |
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 | |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 | |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | NJD @ BOS | BOS | NJD 0–4 BOS | Correct |
| 2026-03-16 | BOS @ NJD | BOS | BOS 3–4 NJD | Missed |
| 2025-12-06 | NJD @ BOS | BOS | NJD 1–4 BOS | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |