PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Wed, Dec 9, 7:00 PM ET
Jake Allen · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make New Jersey Devils 56.0% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 6.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NJD for 94 points and DET for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (49.0% to 48.4%); NJD's power play ran at 21.9% against a DET kill at 77.1%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Allen (NJD) saved -7.2 goals above expected to John Gibson's -12.5, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.901.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New Jersey Devils over Detroit Red Wings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
NJD
Jake Allen
37 games, 2025-26
| DET | Metric | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| 48.4% | xGF% (5v5) | 49.0% |
| 50.4% | Shot share | 51.9% |
| 2.9 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 22.6% | Power play | 21.9% |
| 77.1% | Penalty kill | 79.3% |
| 51.0% | Faceoffs | 50.5% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 29 | 52 | 81 | |
| R | 35 | 39 | 74 | |
| C | 28 | 35 | 63 | |
| D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NJD @ DET | DET | NJD 5–3 DET | Missed |
| 2026-03-08 | DET @ NJD | DET | DET 3–0 NJD | Correct |
| 2025-11-24 | DET @ NJD | NJD | DET 3–4 NJD | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |