PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Dec 15, 7:00 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Buffalo Sabres 66.2% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 16.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BUF for 104 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Buffalo Sabres a 66.2% chance to win on Tue, Dec 15. The matchup detail follows.
BUF controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.7% of the expected goals to 47.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) saved -1.3 goals above expected to Dustin Wolf's -17.8, on save percentages of 0.910 and 0.899.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Buffalo Sabres over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
BUF
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
35 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonathan Huberdeau | L | 15 | 29 | 45 |
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tage Thompson | C | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 104 | 67.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: BUF 2, CGY 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | BUF @ CGY | BUF 4, CGY 7 | BUF missed |
| 2025-11-19 | CGY @ BUF | CGY 6, BUF 2 | BUF missed |
| 2025-01-23 | BUF @ CGY | BUF 2, CGY 5 | CGY hit |
| 2024-11-09 | CGY @ BUF | CGY 2, BUF 3 | BUF hit |
| 2024-03-24 | BUF @ CGY | BUF 4, CGY 1 | BUF hit |
| 2023-10-19 | CGY @ BUF | CGY 4, BUF 3 | BUF missed |
 Rasmus Dahlin | D | 18 | 50 | 68 |
|---|
 Ryan McLeod | C | 14 | 30 | 44 |
|---|
 Jack Quinn | R | 17 | 26 | 43 |
|---|
BUF@
PIT
