PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | BUF win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Senators | 3 days | 54%Model read |
| Nov 6 | vs Blue Jackets | 1 day | 59%Model read |
| Nov 8 | vs Golden Knights | 1 day | 50%Model read |
| Nov 11 | vs Lightning | 2 days | 56%Forecast |
| Nov 12 | at Blackhawks | B2B | 60%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
8-6the model’s record on Buffalo Sabres games.
Buffalo Sabres is #19 at 49 (down 34 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
57.1%
8 of 14 correct
Rank 19 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.1
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.7%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
-0.47
Luck score (PDO 98.3)
Near expectation
32.2
Hits + blocks / game
19.0 hits · 13.2 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
39
Offense
23
Defense
41
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Buffalo Sabres profile as a middle-of-the-pack club still searching for a clear identity. They rely on extras more than you'd like, with too many games going to OT. Trending in the right direction with solid recent form.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Road (87th) stands out as above-average. Exposed in goal diff (26th) and defense (23th) and home (23th) and blocks (23th) and hits (16th). Opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.07 GPG
3.50 GA/G
-6
60.7%
5 RW in 14 GP
5-2-3
3-3-0
4-1-3
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 52.3 | 51.6 | 51.7 | 30.2 | 28.2 | 29 | 27 | 99.4 |
| Power play | 85.4 | 83.3 | 92.0 | 9.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 0 | 112.5 |
| Penalty kill | 10.9 | 13.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 1 | 14 | 92.1 |
| All strengths | 50.7 | 50.1 | 49.2 | 45.0 | 46.4 | 44 | 51 | 97.8 |
14 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
Player Intelligence
League board →58
Overall Quality
87% Full Strength
-12 injury impact
89
Top Line
91
Top Pair
71
Starter
Standings
