PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Dec 19, 3:30 PM ET
Tristan Jarry · 0.882 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 53.5% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 3.5 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and UTA for 99.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Edmonton Oilers a 53.5% chance to win on Sat, Dec 19. The matchup detail follows.
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.6% of the expected goals to 51.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Karel Vejmelka (UTA) saved -22.7 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Utah Mammoth is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
| UTA | Metric | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clayton Keller | R | 27 | 53 | 80 |
 Dylan Guenther | R | 33 | 33 | 66 |
 Logan Cooley | C | 29 | 33 | 61 |
 Nick Schmaltz | C | 22 | 37 | 59 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | EDM @ UTA | UTA | EDM 5–6 UTA | Correct |
| 2026-03-24 | EDM @ UTA | UTA | EDM 5–2 UTA | Missed |
| 2025-10-28 | UTA @ EDM | EDM | UTA 3–6 EDM | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
|---|
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
|---|
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
|---|
EDM@
WSH
