PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Wed, Dec 30, 7:30 PM ET
Tristan Jarry · 0.882 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 57.0% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 7.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and EDM for 97.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Boston Bruins a 57.0% chance to win on Wed, Dec 30. The matchup detail follows.
BOS controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.8% of the expected goals to 48.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 48.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Pastrnak | R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: BOS 2, EDM 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | BOS @ EDM | BOS 6, EDM 2 | EDM missed |
| 2025-12-18 | EDM @ BOS | EDM 3, BOS 1 | BOS missed |
| 2025-01-07 | EDM @ BOS | EDM 4, BOS 0 | EDM hit |
| 2024-12-19 | BOS @ EDM | BOS 2, EDM 3 | EDM hit |
| 2024-03-05 | EDM @ BOS | EDM 2, BOS 1 | EDM hit |
| 2024-02-21 | BOS @ EDM | BOS 6, EDM 5 | EDM missed |
 John-Jason Peterka | R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
|---|
 Morgan Geekie | C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
|---|
 Charlie McAvoy | D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
|---|
BUF@
BOS
