PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Jan 3, 3:00 PM ET
Arturs Silovs · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Pittsburgh Penguins 55.8% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 5.8 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project PIT for 97 points and EDM for 97.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 55.8% chance to win on Sun, Jan 3. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (50.9% to 51.0%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Tristan Jarry (EDM) saved -23.1 goals above expected to Arturs Silovs's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.882 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Pittsburgh Penguins over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
PIT
Arturs Silovs
39 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sidney Crosby | C | 29 | 47 | 76 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | PIT @ EDM | EDM | PIT 6–2 EDM | Missed |
| 2025-12-16 | EDM @ PIT | PIT | EDM 6–4 PIT | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 97 | 50.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Evgeni Malkin | C | 21 | 39 | 59 |
|---|
 Erik Karlsson | D | 11 | 38 | 49 |
|---|
 Bryan Rust | R | 21 | 26 | 47 |
|---|
COL@
PIT
