PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Thu, Jan 7, 8:00 PM ET
Jacob Markstrom · 0.883 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 57.6% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 7.6 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and FLA for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Edmonton Oilers a 57.6% chance to win on Thu, Jan 7. The matchup detail follows.
FLA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 53.7% of the expected goals to 48.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Tristan Jarry (EDM) saved -23.1 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.882 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 53.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aleksander Barkov | C | 23 | 50 | 72 |
 Brady Tkachuk | L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
 Sam Reinhart | C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
 Matthew Tkachuk | L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: EDM 1, FLA 5
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | FLA @ EDM | FLA 4, EDM 0 | EDM missed |
| 2025-11-22 | EDM @ FLA | EDM 6, FLA 3 | FLA missed |
| 2025-02-27 | EDM @ FLA | EDM 3, FLA 4 | FLA hit |
| 2024-12-16 | FLA @ EDM | FLA 6, EDM 5 | EDM missed |
| 2023-12-16 | FLA @ EDM | FLA 5, EDM 1 | EDM missed |
| 2023-11-20 | EDM @ FLA | EDM 3, FLA 5 | FLA hit |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
|---|
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
|---|
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
|---|
SJS@
EDM
