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2026-27 forecast · Thu, Jan 14, 9:30 PM ET
Calvin Pickard · 0.893 SV%
The preseason ratings make Minnesota Wild 60.4% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 10.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project MIN for 101 points and FLA for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.2% of the expected goals to 49.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Calvin Pickard (MIN) saved 0.0 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.893 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Minnesota Wild over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
MIN
Calvin Pickard
13 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 50 | 72 | |
| L | 29 | 38 | 67 | |
| C | 31 | 34 | 65 | |
| L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | MIN @ FLA | MIN | MIN 3–2 FLA | Correct |
| 2026-01-24 | FLA @ MIN | MIN | FLA 4–3 MIN | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| Minnesota Wild | 101 | 65.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| L | 38 | 41 | 79 |
| D | 12 | 67 | 78 |
| D | 13 | 35 | 47 |