PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Tue, Jan 12, 9:40 PM ET
Joey Daccord · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Seattle Kraken 51.1% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 1.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project SEA for 88 points and FLA for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
FLA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.8% of the expected goals to 45.8%; SEA's power play ran at 19.6% against a FLA kill at 81.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Joey Daccord (SEA) saved -18.4 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Seattle Kraken over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.8% |
| 51.1% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 3.0 | Goals for / game | 2.7 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 19.6% | Power play | 19.6% |
| 81.0% | Penalty kill | 72.2% |
| 46.8% | Faceoffs | 47.7% |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 29 | 38 | 67 | |
| C | 31 | 34 | 65 | |
| L | 23 | 41 | 63 | |
| C | 23 | 29 | 52 |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | SEA @ FLA | FLA | SEA 4–5 FLA | Correct |
| 2026-03-15 | FLA @ SEA | FLA | FLA 2–6 SEA | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |