PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Thu, Jan 14, 9:00 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make Seattle Kraken 50.9% to win on the road — barely a lean at all, worth 0.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project SEA for 88 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
SEA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 45.8% of the expected goals to 43.2%; SEA's power play ran at 19.6% against a VAN kill at 71.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Joey Daccord (SEA) saved -18.4 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Seattle Kraken over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| SEA | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.2% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 2.7 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.8 |
| 19.6% | Power play | 21.8% |
| 72.2% | Penalty kill | 71.5% |
| 47.7% | Faceoffs | 49.3% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 | |
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 | |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | SEA @ VAN | SEA | SEA 5–2 VAN | Correct |
| 2026-02-28 | VAN @ SEA | SEA | VAN 1–5 SEA | Correct |
| 2026-01-02 | SEA @ VAN | VAN | SEA 4–3 VAN | Missed |
| 2025-12-29 | VAN @ SEA | VAN | VAN 3–2 SEA | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |