PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Jan 16, 12:00 PM ET
Jeremy Swayman · 0.908 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 50.1% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 0.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and NYR for 91.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Boston Bruins a 50.1% chance to win on Sat, Jan 16. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.8% to 51.1%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Jeremy Swayman's -4.6, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.908.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over New York Rangers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| BOS | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.1% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Pastrnak | R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
 John-Jason Peterka | R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
 Morgan Geekie | C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
 Charlie McAvoy | D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Fox | D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYR 4, BOS 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | NYR @ BOS | NYR 0, BOS 3 | BOS hit |
| 2026-01-26 | BOS @ NYR | BOS 3, NYR 4 | NYR hit |
| 2026-01-10 | NYR @ BOS | NYR 2, BOS 10 | BOS hit |
| 2025-11-28 | NYR @ BOS | NYR 6, BOS 2 | BOS missed |
| 2025-02-05 | BOS @ NYR | BOS 2, NYR 3 | NYR hit |
| 2025-02-01 | NYR @ BOS | NYR 3, BOS 6 | BOS hit |
| 2025-01-02 | BOS @ NYR | BOS 1, NYR 2 | NYR hit |
 Mika Zibanejad | C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
|---|
 J.T. Miller | C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
|---|
 Pavel Dorofeyev | R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
|---|
NYR@
WPG
