Who is favoured, Detroit Red Wings or Minnesota Wild?

Minnesota Wild, at 60.5% in PuckCast's preseason forecast. That is a rating-based forecast; the full model read, with goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of puck drop.

What is a preseason forecast?

A win probability from each team's regressed preseason rating and home ice, the same ratings behind the 2026-27 projected standings. Those ratings are calibrated at the season level, for standings and playoff odds; this single-game percentage is a plain rating formula and has not been graded on its own yet. It is deliberately unsure about any single game, and the confidence grade says how far it leans.

When does the real prediction publish?

Inside the seven-day window before the game. The model re-scores it on every refresh until puck drop, with the confirmed starting goalies, and this page shows that read instead of the forecast.

Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild, Thu, Jan 21: prediction and odds forecast

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2026-27 forecast · Thu, Jan 21, 9:00 PM ET

Detroit Red WingsDET

92 proj. pts · 38.1% playoffs

John Gibson · 0.901 SV%

Bvs9:00 PM ET

Minnesota WildMIN

A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works

The read

Preseason ratings · last season’s record

MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.2% of the expected goals to 48.4%; MIN's power play ran at 24.3% against a DET kill at 77.1%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Filip Gustavsson (MIN) saved -9.1 goals above expected to John Gibson's -12.5, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.901.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Minnesota Wild over Detroit Red Wings is where it starts, not where it ends.

In goal

goalie board

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

DET

John Gibson

SV%: 0.901
GSAx: -12.5
GAA: 2.72
Record: 29-22-4

57 games, 2025-26

MIN

Filip Gustavsson

SV%: 0.904
GSAx: -9.1
GAA: 2.69
Record: 28-15-6

50 games, 2025-26

DET	Metric	MIN
48.4%	xGF% (5v5)	51.2%
50.4%	Shot share	49.5%
2.9	Goals for / game	3.3
3.1	Goals against / game	3.0
22.6%	Power play	24.3%
77.1%	Penalty kill	76.9%
51.0%	Faceoffs	47.0%

Who drives it

2026-27 projected points

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
Lucas Raymond	L	29	52	81
Alex DeBrincat	R	35	39	74
Dylan Larkin	C	28	35	63
Moritz Seider	D	9	43	52

Minnesota Wild

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
Matt Boldy	L	35	45	80

Date	Game	Pick	Score	Result
2026-04-05	MIN @ DET	MIN	MIN 5–4 DET	Correct
2026-01-22	DET @ MIN	MIN	DET 3–4 MIN	Correct

Team	Proj. points	Playoff odds
Detroit Red Wings	92	38.1%
Minnesota Wild	101	65.5%

Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.

The read

In goal

Last season, side by side

Who drives it

Schedule around it

Last season, head to head

Season outlook