PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Mon, Feb 15, 2:00 PM ET
Jeremy Swayman · 0.908 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 59.1% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 9.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and ANA for 94.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
ANA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 47.6%; BOS's power play ran at 22.7% against a ANA kill at 75.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Anaheim Ducks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| ANA | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.6% |
| 52.4% | Shot share | 47.4% |
| 3.2 | Goals for / game | 3.2 |
| 3.5 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 20.2% | Power play | 22.7% |
| 75.6% | Penalty kill | 78.5% |
| 47.8% | Faceoffs | 53.3% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 34 | 29 | 63 | |
| C | 25 | 34 | 60 | |
| R | 21 | 34 | 55 | |
| R | 19 | 33 | 51 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | BOS @ ANA | ANA | BOS 3–4 ANA | Correct |
| 2025-10-23 | ANA @ BOS | ANA | ANA 7–5 BOS | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |