PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Feb 21, 8:00 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 59.4% to win on the road — a modest lean, worth 9.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
BOS controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.6% of the expected goals to 43.2%; BOS's power play ran at 22.7% against a VAN kill at 71.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| BOS | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.2% |
| 47.4% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 3.2 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 3.0 | Goals against / game | 3.8 |
| 22.7% | Power play | 21.8% |
| 78.5% | Penalty kill | 71.5% |
| 53.3% | Faceoffs | 49.3% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 | |
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 | |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 | |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | BOS @ VAN | BOS | BOS 3–2 VAN | Correct |
| 2025-12-20 | VAN @ BOS | BOS | VAN 5–4 BOS | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |