PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Feb 27, 7:00 PM ET
Jacob Markstrom · 0.883 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 64.9% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 14.9 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and FLA for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Colorado Avalanche a 64.9% chance to win on Sat, Feb 27. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (53.4% to 53.7%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 53.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 53.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aleksander Barkov | C | 23 | 50 | 72 |
 Brady Tkachuk | L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
 Sam Reinhart | C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
 Matthew Tkachuk | L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: COL 3, FLA 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | COL @ FLA | COL 1, FLA 2 | COL missed |
| 2025-12-11 | FLA @ COL | FLA 2, COL 6 | COL hit |
| 2025-01-06 | FLA @ COL | FLA 1, COL 3 | COL hit |
| 2024-11-23 | COL @ FLA | COL 7, FLA 4 | FLA missed |
| 2024-02-10 | COL @ FLA | COL 0, FLA 4 | FLA hit |
| 2024-01-06 | FLA @ COL | FLA 8, COL 4 | COL missed |
 Cale Makar | D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
|---|
 Martin Necas | C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
|---|
 Nazem Kadri | C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
|---|
COL@
SJS
