PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Mar 20, 7:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make New Jersey Devils 61.1% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 11.1 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NJD for 94 points and TOR for 85.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives New Jersey Devils a 61.1% chance to win on Sat, Mar 20. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 47.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Connor Hellebuyck (NJD) saved -22.8 goals above expected to Sergei Bobrovsky's -41.5, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.877.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New Jersey Devils over Toronto Maple Leafs is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
| TOR | Metric | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auston Matthews | C | 40 | 39 | 79 |
 William Nylander | R | 31 | 43 | 74 |
 Kirill Marchenko | R | 25 | 33 | 58 |
 John Tavares | C | 25 | 33 | 58 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Hughes | C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NJD 4, TOR 5
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | TOR @ NJD | TOR 3, NJD 5 | TOR missed |
| 2025-12-30 | NJD @ TOR | NJD 0, TOR 4 | TOR hit |
| 2025-10-21 | NJD @ TOR | NJD 5, TOR 2 | TOR missed |
| 2025-01-16 | NJD @ TOR | NJD 3, TOR 4 | TOR hit |
| 2024-12-10 | TOR @ NJD | TOR 2, NJD 1 | NJD missed |
| 2024-10-10 | TOR @ NJD | TOR 4, NJD 2 | TOR hit |
| 2024-04-11 | NJD @ TOR | NJD 6, TOR 5 | TOR missed |
| 2024-04-09 | TOR @ NJD | TOR 5, NJD 2 | TOR hit |
 Jesper Bratt | L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
|---|
 Nico Hischier | C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
|---|
 Luke Hughes | D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
|---|
NJD@
MTL
