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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Center•#19BOOM/BUSTPPI 69Dawson Mercer is a 25-year-old center for the Winnipeg Jets. Selected 18th overall by NJD in the 2020 NHL Draft. Born in Carbonear, CAN.
This season, the right-shooting forward has 0 goals and 6 assists for 6 points in 15 games. He averages 0.40 points per game on 15:23 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 25–64 pts
BOOM/BUST — 11th percentile at C, 41% hit rate (82 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Dawson's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
0
Current: 0
Assists
33
Current: 6
Points
33
Current: 6
Limited offensive production projected. Expected range of 19-47 points based on current usage patterns.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Dawson was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 15 games, 265 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
62.3 vs 57.3 lg
90th percentile
Quality of teammates
57.4 vs 56.8 lg
53th percentile
Deployment
tough-comp
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Dawson takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
37
Goals vs expected
0 vs 3.4 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
40%
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL forwards
55
Offense
22
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays a heavy penalty-kill workload. Areas for improvement: bleeds goals against at evens.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
33-pt spreadThe 33-point spread between offensive (55th) and defensive (22th) percentiles is significant for a center. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays a heavy penalty-kill workload. Areas for improvement: bleeds goals against at evens.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
33-pt spreadThe 33-point spread between offensive (55th) and defensive (22th) percentiles is significant for a center. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Dawson Mercer's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | WPG | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | — | |||
| 26-272026-27 | NJD | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 22 | — | |||
| 25-262025-26 | NJD | 82 | 20 | 22 | 42 | -2 | 158 | 12.7% |
Form
Dawson's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @ CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 |
| Oct 30 | @ FLA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 |
| Oct 29 | @ TBL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 14:33 |
| Oct 27 | vs FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 16:07 |
| Oct 25 | vs MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 |
Similar centers
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Dawson to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Winnipeg Jets this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 24-252024-25 | NJD | 82 | 19 | 17 | 36 | +4 | 141 | 13.5% |
| 23-242023-24 | NJD | 82 | 20 | 13 | 33 | -26 | 134 | 14.9% |
| 22-232022-23 | NJD | 82 | 27 | 29 | 56 | +22 | 161 | 16.8% |
| 21-222021-22 | NJD | 82 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -25 | 154 | 11.0% |
| Career | — | 425 | 103 | 112 | 215 | -31 | 778 | 13.2% |
Alex Iafallo
LW · 5 pts
