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2025-26 statsShown until 2026-27 has enough games. Updates automatically.See 2026-27 projections →

Sebastian Aho is a 29-year-old center for the Carolina Hurricanes. A 2015 Draft pick (Round 2). Born in Rauma, FIN.
Sebastian is having an elite 2025-26 campaign with 32 goals and 60 assists for 92 points through 98 games. He averages 0.94 points per game on 19:50 of ice time.
#18 NHL
#21 NHL
2026-27 projection
Projected September 5, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 45–94 pts
2025-26
Full statistical breakdown for the 2025-26 regular season.
League Percentiles
Among all NHL skaters this season.
Percentile rank among all NHL skaters with 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
5v5
What happened while Sebastian was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2025-26.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 79 games, 1,620 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
61.6 vs 54.8 lg
97th percentile
Quality of teammates
83.2 vs 53.2 lg
99th percentile
Deployment
tough-comp
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Sebastian takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
312
Goals vs expected
27 vs 27.3 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
33%
With-or-without-you
Who Sebastian plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei SvechnikovR | 779 min | 57.7 | 53.4 | +4.3 |
| Seth JarvisC | 765 min | 56.9 | 56.1 | +0.8 |
| Sean WalkerD | 442 min | 56.8 | 56.5 | +0.3 |
| K'Andre MillerD | 403 min | 62.1 | 53.3 | +8.8 |
| Jalen ChatfieldD | 360 min | 54.1 | 57.9 | -3.8 |
| Nikolaj EhlersL | 268 min | 57.3 | 56.4 | +0.9 |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Sebastian, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
Form
Performance in the last five games played.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:14 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGK | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:01 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 18:14 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGK | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:51 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:37 |
2025-26
Skill profile, on-ice impact metrics, and season projections.
Percentile rankings vs. NHL Forwards
87
Offense
45
Defense
66
Overall
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions vs. all NHL forwards. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, a heavy penalty-kill workload, power play scoring. Areas for improvement: bleeds goals against at evens.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
42-pt spreadThe 42-point spread between offensive (87th) and defensive (45th) percentiles is extreme for a center. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, a heavy penalty-kill workload, power play scoring. Areas for improvement: bleeds goals against at evens.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
42-pt spreadThe 42-point spread between offensive (87th) and defensive (45th) percentiles is extreme for a center. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Sebastian Aho's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-262025-26 | CAR | 79 | 27 | 53 | 80 | +11 | 195 | 13.8% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | CAR | 79 | 29 | 45 | 74 | +7 | 207 | 14.0% | |||
| 23-242023-24 | CAR | 78 | 36 | 53 | 89 | +34 | 216 | 16.7% |
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Carolina Hurricanes this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts — where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy — zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
End of season statistical forecast
0
games remaining
Goals
32
Current: 32
Assists
60
Current: 60
Points
92
Current: 92
Strong production expected. Most likely outcome is 92-100 points, establishing this player as a top-line contributor.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.3%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
| 22-232022-23 | CAR | 75 | 36 | 31 | 67 | +8 | 218 | 16.5% |
| 21-222021-22 | CAR | 79 | 37 | 44 | 81 | +18 | 221 | 16.7% |
| 20-212020-21 | CAR | 56 | 24 | 33 | 57 | +16 | 148 | 16.2% |
| 19-202019-20 | CAR | 68 | 38 | 28 | 66 | +10 | 206 | 18.4% |
| 18-192018-19 | CAR | 82 | 30 | 53 | 83 | +25 | 243 | 12.3% |
| 17-182017-18 | CAR | 78 | 29 | 36 | 65 | +4 | 200 | 14.5% |
| 16-172016-17 | CAR | 82 | 24 | 25 | 49 | -1 | 214 | 11.2% |
| Career | — | 756 | 310 | 401 | 711 | +132 | 2068 | 15.0% |
D · 62 pts