PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Center•#48BOOM/BUSTPPI 87Tomas Hertl is a 32-year-old center for the Vegas Golden Knights. Selected 17th overall by SJS in the 2012 NHL Draft. Born in Praha, CZE.
This season, the left-shooting forward has 5 goals and 4 assists for 9 points in 16 games. He averages 0.56 points per game on 15:31 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 24–62 pts
BOOM/BUST — 23rd percentile at C, 51% hit rate (82 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Tomas's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
26
Current: 5
Assists
21
Current: 4
Points
47
Current: 9
Moderate production expected. Likely to finish between 38-57 points with consistent deployment.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Tomas was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 16 games, 243 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
50.8 vs 57.3 lg
10th percentile
Quality of teammates
62.1 vs 56.8 lg
69th percentile
Deployment
sheltered
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Tomas takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
58
Goals vs expected
5 vs 7.2 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
52%
With-or-without-you
Who Tomas plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor ConnellyL | 132 min | 66.0 | — | — |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Tomas, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL forwards
87
Offense
75
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays strong offensive ability, a top on-ice shot share, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
12-pt spreadLeans offensive. The 12-point spread between offensive (87th) and defensive (75th) percentiles is typical of a scoring-first center.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays strong offensive ability, a top on-ice shot share, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
12-pt spreadLeans offensive. The 12-point spread between offensive (87th) and defensive (75th) percentiles is typical of a scoring-first center.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Tomas Hertl's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | VGK | 16 | 5 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 39 | 12.8% | |||
| 25-262025-26 | VGK | 82 | 24 | 34 | 58 | -17 | 202 | 11.9% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | VGK | 73 | 32 | 29 | 61 | -3 | 177 | 18.1% |
Form
Tomas's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ BOS | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:48 |
| Oct 30 | vs NJD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 15:44 |
| Oct 27 | vs OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 |
| Oct 24 | @ CBJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:55 |
| Oct 22 | @ STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:20 |
Similar centers
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Tomas to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Vegas Golden Knights this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | VGK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | 18.2% |
| 23-242023-24 | SJS | 48 | 15 | 19 | 34 | -26 | 113 | 13.3% |
| 22-232022-23 | SJS | 79 | 22 | 41 | 63 | -36 | 183 | 12.0% |
| 21-222021-22 | SJS | 82 | 30 | 34 | 64 | -9 | 205 | 14.6% |
| 20-212020-21 | SJS | 50 | 19 | 24 | 43 | +1 | 112 | 17.0% |
| 19-202019-20 | SJS | 48 | 16 | 20 | 36 | -18 | 117 | 13.7% |
| 18-192018-19 | SJS | 77 | 35 | 39 | 74 | +5 | 176 | 19.9% |
| 17-182017-18 | SJS | 79 | 22 | 24 | 46 | -2 | 175 | 12.6% |
| 16-172016-17 | SJS | 49 | 10 | 12 | 22 | -8 | 100 | 10.0% |
| 15-162015-16 | SJS | 81 | 21 | 25 | 46 | +16 | 202 | 10.4% |
| 14-152014-15 | SJS | 82 | 13 | 18 | 31 | -5 | 145 | 9.0% |
| 13-142013-14 | SJS | 37 | 15 | 10 | 25 | +11 | 98 | 15.3% |
| Career | — | 889 | 281 | 335 | 616 | -92 | 2055 | 13.7% |
William Karlsson
C · 6 pts
