PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Fri, Oct 2, 9:00 PM ET
Jake Oettinger · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Dallas Stars 61.5% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 11.5 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DAL for 103 points and STL for 94.
The model leaned Dallas Stars at 61.5%.
PuckCast had Dallas Stars at 61.5% to win this game on Fri, Oct 2. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.2% to 50.3%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Oettinger (DAL) saved -14.5 goals above expected to Jordan Binnington's -37.1, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.873.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Dallas Stars over St. Louis Blues is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
STL
Jordan Binnington
41 games, 2025-26
DAL
Jake Oettinger
54 games, 2025-26
| STL | Metric | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Robert Thomas | C | 22 | 50 | 72 |
 Jimmy Snuggerud | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
 Mason McTavish | C | 20 | 29 | 49 |
 Dylan Holloway | L | 20 | 27 | 48 |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Robertson | L | 37 | 49 | 86 |
St. Louis BluesSeason opener: no previous game, no rest edge either way.
Dallas StarsSeason opener: no previous game, no rest edge either way.
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | STL @ DAL | DAL | STL 4–5 DAL | Correct |
| 2026-01-27 | DAL @ STL | DAL | DAL 4–3 STL | Correct |
| 2026-01-23 | STL @ DAL | DAL | STL 2–3 DAL | Correct |
| 2025-10-18 | DAL @ STL | STL | DAL 1–3 STL | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 94 | 50.0% |
| Dallas Stars | 103 | 70.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Mikko Rantanen | R | 30 | 55 | 85 |
|---|
 Wyatt Johnston | C | 42 | 42 | 84 |
|---|
 Roope Hintz | C | 22 | 32 | 54 |
|---|
