PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sun, Oct 4, 9:00 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vegas Golden Knights 56.7% to win on the road: a modest lean, worth 6.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project VGK for 96 points and VAN for 80.
The model leaned Vegas Golden Knights at 56.7%.
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.7% of the expected goals to 43.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Adin Hill (VGK) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.871 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vegas Golden Knights over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| VGK | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch Marner | R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
 Jack Eichel | C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
 Mark Stone | R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
 Shea Theodore | D | 8 | 34 | 42 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elias Pettersson | C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | VGK @ VAN | VGK | VGK 2–1 VAN | Correct |
| 2026-03-30 | VAN @ VGK | VGK | VAN 2–4 VGK | Correct |
| 2026-02-04 | VAN @ VGK | VGK | VAN 2–5 VGK | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Brock Boeser | R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
|---|
 Marco Rossi | C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
|---|
 Filip Hronek | D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
|---|
VAN@
NYR
