PuckCast Edge
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Final · Sun, Oct 11, 6:00 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Rangers 64.0% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 14.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYR for 91 points and VAN for 80.
The model leaned New York Rangers at 64.0%.
NYR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 48.0% of the expected goals to 43.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Rangers over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| VAN | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 | |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 | |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | VAN @ NYR | NYR | VAN 3–0 NYR | Missed |
| 2025-10-28 | NYR @ VAN | NYR | NYR 2–0 VAN | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |