PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Tue, Oct 13, 6:45 PM ET
Brandon Bussi · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Carolina Hurricanes 60.2% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 10.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project CAR for 105 points and WSH for 98.
The model leaned Carolina Hurricanes at 60.2%.
CAR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.5% of the expected goals to 49.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Logan Thompson (WSH) saved 2.8 goals above expected to Brandon Bussi's -14.9, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Carolina Hurricanes over Washington Capitals is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
WSH
Logan Thompson
58 games, 2025-26
CAR
Brandon Bussi
39 games, 2025-26
| WSH | Metric | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 56.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Ovechkin | L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
 Dylan Strome | C | 21 | 39 | 60 |
 Alex Tuch | R | 26 | 30 | 57 |
 Jordan Kyrou | R | 25 | 32 | 56 |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sebastian Aho | C | 29 | 47 | 76 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | CAR @ WSH | CAR | CAR 3–4 WSH | Missed |
| 2025-12-11 | CAR @ WSH | CAR | CAR 3–2 WSH | Correct |
| 2025-11-11 | WSH @ CAR | CAR | WSH 4–1 CAR | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Washington Capitals | 98 | 51.2% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 105 | 69.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Andrei Svechnikov | R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
|---|
 Nikolaj Ehlers | L | 22 | 36 | 58 |
|---|
 Jackson Blake | R | 20 | 26 | 45 |
|---|
CAR@
VAN
