PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | WSH win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs Stars | 1 day | 51%Final pick |
| Nov 7 | vs Panthers | 3 days | 52%Model read |
| Nov 10 | at Senators | 2 days | 43%Forecast |
| Nov 12 | at Devils | 1 day | 48%Forecast |
| Nov 14 | vs Devils | 1 day | 58%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
9-4the model’s record on Washington Capitals games.
Washington Capitals is #14 at 58 (down 10 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
69.2%
9 of 13 correct
Rank 7 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
61
Offense
52
Defense
61
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Washington Capitals profile as a middle-of-the-pack club still searching for a clear identity. They don't need overtime. Most of their wins come in regulation, a sign of genuine dominance. Recent form is middling, treading water.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in blocks, reg wins, point %, all above the 65th percentile. No glaring weaknesses below the 35th percentile, a hard team to game-plan against.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.38 GPG
3.23 GA/G
+2
61.5%
7 RW in 13 GP
6-4-0
6-3-0
2-2-0
Upcoming
vs Stars
7:00 PM ET • Capital One Arena
8-5-1 (17 pts)
Win Prob
51%
Model Edge
+0.6
WSH Starter
DAL Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 49.0 | 50.3 | 51.9 | 31.1 | 28.9 | 34 | 28 | 102.1 |
| Power play | 91.7 | 89.2 | 89.8 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 0 | 115.8 |
| Penalty kill | 10.9 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 10.3 | 1 | 7 | 94.9 |
| All strengths | 47.6 | 49.2 | 49.7 | 42.6 | 43.1 | 44 | 42 | 100.7 |
13 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
64
Overall Quality
84% Full Strength
-7 injury impact
89
Top Line
81
Top Pair
77
Starter
Standings