PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET
Connor Hellebuyck · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Carolina Hurricanes 57.0% to win on the road — a modest lean, worth 7.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project CAR for 105 points and WPG for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
CAR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.5% of the expected goals to 47.7%; CAR's power play ran at 23.4% against a WPG kill at 77.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Brandon Bussi (CAR) saved -14.9 goals above expected to Connor Hellebuyck's -22.8, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Carolina Hurricanes over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CAR
Brandon Bussi
39 games, 2025-26
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
| CAR | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 56.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| 57.3% | Shot share | 48.7% |
| 3.5 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 2.7 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 23.4% | Power play | 18.5% |
| 82.7% | Penalty kill | 77.6% |
| 49.8% | Faceoffs | 51.1% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 29 | 47 | 76 | |
| R | 33 | 38 | 71 | |
| R | 26 | 37 | 63 | |
| L | 22 | 36 | 58 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | WPG @ CAR | CAR | WPG 1–5 CAR | Correct |
| 2025-11-21 | CAR @ WPG | CAR | CAR 4–3 WPG | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 105 | 69.3% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| D | 11 | 37 | 48 |