PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2025-26 stats Shown until 2026-27 has enough games. Updates automatically. See 2026-27 projection →
Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
57.9%
44 of 76 correct
Rank 13 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.0
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.8%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
+0.43
Luck score (PDO 101.0)
Near expectation
35.6
Hits + blocks / game
19.7 hits · 15.9 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
55
Offense
71
Defense
67
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Washington Capitals profile as a balanced, two-way team that can beat you multiple ways. They don't need overtime — most of their wins come in regulation, a sign of genuine dominance. Currently scorching — one of the hottest teams in hockey over the last 10.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in form (l10), blocks, home — all above the 65th percentile. Exposed in road (32th) and hits (32th) — opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.21 GPG
2.98 GA/G
+19
57.9%
37 RW in 82 GP
8-2-0
25-11-5
18-19-4
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 49.4 | 50.2 | 49.9 | 173.2 | 173.6 | 179 | 147 | 101.8 |
| Power play | 86.2 | 84.2 | 86.6 | 48.5 | 7.5 | 39 | 10 | 97.9 |
| Penalty kill | 10.4 | 11.5 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 55.3 | 3 | 49 | 91.0 |
| All strengths | 49.1 | 49.9 | 49.3 | 248.8 | 256.0 | 269 | 250 | 100.8 |
82 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10 — it regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals — no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
71
Overall Quality
70% Full Strength
-6 injury impact
90
Top Line
93
Top Pair
84
Starter
Standings · 2025-26 Final
2026-27 hasn't started — showing the 2025-26 final order, with 2026-27 projected points alongside.